Is it big enough to meet current and future waste needs?

Yes. The size of the Energy Recovery Facility is informed by detailed modelling that we carried out before North London Heat and Power Project was consented by the Government.

This will ensure that the facility is large enough to meet current and future waste needs.

The population in north London is expected to increase from 2 million to 2.5 million by 2050, which is why we are future proofing this facility to deal with 700,000 tonnes of non-recyclable waste per year. Our forecast waste model shows increased capacity is needed for the replacement facility, even if we reach our ambitious 50% recycling targets. These projections are regularly assessed and updated by North London Waste Authority. Further information about why we need to keep this facility in north London is detailed in the AD05.04 Need Assessment.

Based on a reaching 50% recycling by 2021/20 and remaining at 50% thereafter household waste would be forecast for the following tonnages:

Waste Forecast in tonnes 2020/21 2025/26 2050/51
Recycling 418,169 424,049 457,185
Residual 566,872 572,856 611,277
Total 985,041 996,905 1,068,462

Waste fluctuations in different seasons means we need 700,000 tonnes to manage the waste across the year by 2050/51.

If recycling performance improves beyond the current projections over the course of the replacement facility’s life, we can then take in third party waste.