What factors is the future modelling based on?

We considered a wide range of factors to estimate the amount of residual waste that will require treatment through to 2050-2051.

This includes:

  • Different scenarios for future recycling rates
  • Recent trends in waste prevention
  • Targets for the rate of re-use, recycle and composting

We also considered other factors, such as the financial risks of under capacity and fluctuations in the level of waste managed throughout the year.

If future waste rates are lower than estimated, or if there are higher rates of reuse, recycling and composting, then other sources of residual waste will be available both from within the North London Waste Authority area and beyond to fill any spare capacity in the facility, without this capacity acting as a barrier to continued efforts by us to encourage residents to reduce their waste and maximise their recycling

For more information, please refer to the Need Assessment here.